“His levels of support during that period were much higher than Trump ever attained in his four years in office.” “ore than half the country approved of his performance as president,” Sosnik writes. It seemed like a competent new president was taming the pandemic and bringing back a robust economy. And Doug thinks there’s only one thing that possibly could: “reframing the terms of debate for the midterm elections around the pending decision by the Supreme Court on Roe.”Ī look back at how it fell apart for Biden: Nothing since then has changed Biden’s standing.
You can read the full memo hereĭoug looks at the Biden presidency so far and concludes that the midterms were essentially lost during the period from July to November last year. That, at least, is the argument from DOUG SOSNIK in his latest memo that we are happy to share first with the Playbook audience. In fact, voters may have already made up their minds. 6 committee hearings that highlight the issue of Trump and the GOP’s efforts to overtun the 2020 elections and, at least on the Senate side, (4) the emergence of unelectable Republican nominees in key states.īut history is not on Biden’s side. Wade has not yet helped him either.ĭemocrats are still clinging to a few potential developments that they hope could turn things around: (1) an actual decision from the Supreme Court that makes the reality of state abortion bans more acutely felt (2) passage of a new version of Build Back Better (3) the upcoming Jan. The news that the Supreme Court is on the cusp of overturning Roe v. President JOE BIDEN’s leadership rallying Europe against Russia’s aggression in Ukraine has had no effect on his approval.
It’s anticlimactic because it’s one of the most predictable events in American politics.Ĭan anything change the predicted trajectory for Democrats? Some theories have come and gone. It’s major news because there will likely be a dramatic shift away from the president’s party. IS IT ALREADY OVER FOR BIDEN AND THE DEMS? - A president’s first midterm election is both an enormous story and completely anticlimactic. … On Saturday, Trump is scheduled to hold a rally in Casper, Wyo., for HARRIET HAGEMAN as she takes on Rep. … Also on Tuesday: KELLYANNE CONWAY’s “Here's the Deal: A Memoir” will be released ( more on that below) … In the Senate, Majority Leader CHUCK SCHUMER will try to set up a vote on the Domestic Terrorism Prevention Act for Thursday. On the GOP side, all eyes will be on Georgia, where DAVID PERDUE, backed by DONALD TRUMP, is expected to lose his primary against Gov. moderate showdown of the HENRY CUELLAR and JESSICA CISNEROS runoff in South Texas. On the Dem side, the big story will be the progressive vs. … On Tuesday, there are primaries in Alabama, Arkansas and Georgia, and runoffs in Texas. THE WEEK - Another jam-packed week in politics: In the House, we’ll be watching whether the recent federal court decision blocking the lifting of Title 42 has any impact on the Dems’ effort to pass a Covid relief bill. Military Would Defend Taiwan if China Invaded,” by NYT’s Zolan Kanno-Youngs and Peter Baker
| Nicolas Datiche/Pool Photo via AP DRIVING THE DAY History is not on President Joe Biden’s side when it comes to the midterms.